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The Police Service

Formal rating
A–Outlook: Negative
As of 2026-Q2
This week’s trust-pressure signal
Negative pressure3–9 Aug 2026

Ongoing coverage of confidence, performance variation and legitimacy challenges.

Provisional indicator only · Does not change the formal rating

Current standing

Public confidence that local police do a good job has fallen substantially since the early 2000s. Victim satisfaction and detection performance have declined; the consent model is under clear strain.

25-year trajectory

2000 baselineA+
2026 formalA–
Deteriorating
  • CSEW confidence and ‘good job’ ratings have trended down over two decades.
  • Force variation in performance remains high.
  • Legitimacy and fairness perceptions continue to be tested.

Visual comparison

The Police Service vs international peers

2000 baseline (left) vs 2026 formal (right) · Higher bar = stronger rating

20002026
BBBBB–A–AA–AAAA+A–UKThe Police ServiceAA–A+GermanyState police / …A+AFranceNational Police…AA–A+NetherlandsNational PoliceA+ACanadaRCMP + provinci…AA–A+AustraliaState & federal…A+ASwedenSwedish Police …

Five pillars (formal assessment)

Public Trust & Respect

Deteriorating
Under pressure

Confidence and satisfaction metrics well below early-2000s levels.

Performance & Effectiveness

Deteriorating
Under pressure

Detection rates and victim satisfaction have declined.

Financial / Operational Sustainability

Deteriorating
Under pressure

Demand pressures and resource constraints are material.

International Standing

Stable
Adequate

Consent model still referenced internationally, but domestic strain is visible.

Shock Absorption & Adaptive Capacity

Deteriorating
Under pressure

Reform capacity exists but legitimacy challenges are persistent.

International peers

Formal ratings only · 2000 baseline → 2026 current · No weekly signals

InstitutionCountry20002026Outlook
State police / BKAGermanyAA–A+Stable
National Police + GendarmerieFranceA+AStable
National PoliceNetherlandsAA–A+Stable
RCMP + provincial forcesCanadaA+AStable
State & federal policeAustraliaAA–A+Stable
Swedish Police AuthoritySwedenA+AStable